National Geographic is the distributor handling U2-3D, the new concert film from the legendary Bono-led band. The rookie distributor is managing to grab virtually all of the nation’s Digital 3D locations (although likely short of the number that the recent Hannah Montana from Disney opened on). There is no tracking available for U2-3D, and it’s difficult to tell how high the awareness is for this movie-going experience. I suspect that $10,000-$12,000 per location is possible, a far cry from Hannah’s $45,000+ PTA on opening weekend, but still an impressive $6M-$8M for the weekend.

Here are my predictions for Oscar weekend, February 22-24:

1. Vantage Point (Sony) - $16M
2. Jumper (Fox) - $13.3M
3. The Spiderwick Chronicles (Paramount) - $11.5M
4. Step Up to the Streets (Disney) - $8.5M
5. U2-3D (National Geographic) - $7.1M
6. Fool’s Gold (Warner Bros) - $7M
7. Definitely Maybe (Universal) - $5.9M
8. Welcome Home Roscoe Jenkins (Universal) - $4.4M
9. Be Kind Rewind (New Line) - $4M
10. Juno (Fox Searchlight) - $3.2M
*Charlie Bartlett (MGM) - $2.4M
*Witless Protection (Lionsgate) - $2M

- Steve Mason, Fantasy Moguls

Related posts:

• NME - U2’s 3D film set to be released
• More info on the upcoming U2 Single & Slane concert.
• Latest information on the upcoming U2 Single and Album release.
• Undercover - U2 Stay With Universal
• Pro Bono